Posted 11 Mar 2014 4 votes for Democracy, 6 votes total needed to change. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 11 Mar 2014 (edited) Nah, fuq democracy. In our worst case scenario, the werewolf makes as many kills as possible, because he wants to influence the weight of the game very fast. So in our worst case scenario, the werewolf makes the next kill, to get his cooldown time out of the way, so he can start killing again. He is guaranteed to wack a non werewolf. Let's assume the worst, and say he knocks off a townie. So now we have 1 werewolfs, 5 townies, and one jester. Jester probably does not want to accidently kill the last wolf, so hes probably lying low or trying to provoke an attack. So whats the best move for the townie? From how this game has been moving we should be able to get in a load of kills as long as we attack rapidly. Meaning if a wolf strikes even once, the town can answer with an onslaught of blood and carnage while he watches helplessly in a cooldown phase. Day phases start immediately, and only take a couple hours of recharge, so I bet that if we strike quickly each day phase, we could sneak in at least 5 kills during a wolves cooldown phase. -If the townie kills somebody at random, they have a 1/6 of killing wolf. -Next day phase, chances of a townie killing a wolf becomes 1/5 -Then it becomes 1/4 -And 1/3 -and finally 1/2 Thus the chances of a wolf living successive random killings are 5/6 , 4/5 , 3/4 , 2/3 , 1/2 Doing the math here, the chances of a wolf surviving a rampage of townies out for blood from this point in time = 5/6 * 4/5 * 3/4 * 2/3 * 1/ 2 = .167. In other words, by randomely killing eachother as fast as we can, the town has 83.3% chance of winning this game. Those odds are high enough for meDaykill: Knuckle (edited for formatting, no content was changed) Edited 11 Mar 2014 by Brodongo (see edit history) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 11 Mar 2014 posting to maintain the idea that I am active Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 11 Mar 2014 Man this games going fast. I'm here too. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 11 Mar 2014 posting to maintain the idea that I am active Man this games going fast. I'm here too. Cirt and Necropolis receive MOD penalties for posting after allowable time. Knuckle is Dead and can no longer post at all. Knuckle was a Townie. Knuckle was all of the viewers from Hyrule.net. No longer will they enjoy the various memes of TPP, nor make profit on related goods and services. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Phase 5 begins at precisely 17:00 Eastern Standard Time (140 minutes from the time of this post) without any further indication from me. The game will be in Anarchy Mode. Players may now post. It's the fifth day of the social phenomenon, TwitchPlaysPokemon. 120,000 people have tuned in, at 3 a.m., to watch the character defeat the trash maze in Lt. Surge's gym. You didn't even go to bed last night. You haven't showered, or eaten. A wave of thrill washes over you with every input command you enter. Every time the Helix Fossil is "consulted", you praise it along with the rest. You're not sure anymore that you're joking. Viewer Traffic List: T1g BANNED Werewolf by emsomniac, Phase 2 SilverMoon Knuckle BANNED Townie by brodongo, Phase 4 Sahaqiel Sawoobie BANNED Townie by T1g, Phase 1 Necropolis --------------------- 48-hour cooldown ending March 13th @ 17:00 EST Ammonsa emsomniac -------------------- 24-hour cooldown ending March 12th @ 17:00 EST Cascade BANNED Traitor by Knuckle, Phase 3 Cirt ------------------------------ 48-hour cooldown ending March 13th @ 17:00 EST brodongo ---------------------- 24-hour cooldown ending March 12th @ 17:00 EST Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 12 Mar 2014 That's some rock-solid reasoning... I'll still hold off on attacking for right now. Do I have to reaffirm my democracy vote? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 12 Mar 2014 Silver KILL SOMEONE KILL SOMEONE STOP DILLYDALLYING AND MURDER SOMEBODY Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 12 Mar 2014 YOU WANT TO HAVE A ROW THEN EMSO? 'MON THEN SQUARE-GO LIKE Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 12 Mar 2014 U FCKN WOT? I SWEAR TO CHRIST I'LL HOOK U IN DA GABBER MATE Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 12 Mar 2014 I SOCK EMSO IN THE GOB emsomniac and T1g like this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Posted 12 Mar 2014 I SOCK EMSO IN THE GOB not a kill command That's some rock-solid reasoning... I'll still hold off on attacking for right now. Do I have to reaffirm my democracy vote? Yes. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites